History Repeats Itself.

From the Personal Memoirs of U.S. Grant: (Chapter 16) While a citizen of Missouri, my first opportunity for casting a vote at a Presidential election occurred. I had been in the army from before attaining my majority and had thought but little about politics, although I was a Whig by education and a great admirer … Continue reading History Repeats Itself.

How to Lie with Statistics.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) speaks with forked tongue. On a page that is ostensibly dedicated to coronavirus mortality updates (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html#mortality) it says, "Indicators that track ILI and COVID-19-like illness (CLI) showed decreases nationally from week 29 to week 30, with decreasing or stable levels in nearly all regions of the country," … Continue reading How to Lie with Statistics.

Coronavirus Common Sense (and a Classic Cautionary Tale).

This blogger has watched with amazement the fear, panic, and hysterical overreaction to the discovery of the newest head-and-chest-cold virus to come out of China. Scientists who should know better how to calculate statistics, have fudged the reported fatality rate by using the wrong denominator in the equation: If anybody in the Epidemiology class I … Continue reading Coronavirus Common Sense (and a Classic Cautionary Tale).